Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 94.973867 105.669535 116.568791 128.476040 141.088358 154.021077 168.256014
2025-02-23 78.161306 93.566860 109.920494 128.451844 148.750702 170.201043 194.474295
2025-03-02 67.807959 85.822714 105.535237 128.460684 154.155466 181.852192 213.753820
2025-03-09 60.260633 80.179299 102.564479 129.179175 159.578603 192.873651 231.761304
2025-03-16 52.958446 74.034021 98.340537 127.845759 162.136140 200.233957 245.279790
2025-03-23 48.507757 70.816924 97.126584 129.623635 167.931003 210.983915 262.384391
2025-03-30 44.874779 68.253280 96.402036 131.723544 173.889400 221.758092 279.388824
2025-04-06 40.289319 64.121574 93.472190 130.924064 176.225111 228.186862 291.278876
2025-04-13 35.351996 59.153871 89.194271 128.210845 176.051728 231.507463 299.420028
2025-04-20 33.886747 58.662724 90.448549 132.211883 183.870408 244.152151 318.371672
2025-04-27 31.927920 57.343309 90.524441 134.652338 189.731373 254.444859 334.555783
2025-05-04 28.889410 54.300421 88.189209 133.913383 191.593591 259.902234 344.995062
2025-05-11 25.917296 51.174597 85.629767 132.820632 193.000106 264.840822 354.896068
2025-05-18 23.941361 49.367507 84.738712 133.802259 196.937017 272.803309 368.392172
2025-05-25 21.761563 47.081268 83.063634 133.653985 199.373508 278.887943 379.603028
2025-06-01 20.060844 45.404380 82.136272 134.414456 202.902079 286.266743 392.346791
2025-06-08 17.862064 42.750455 79.695521 133.044830 203.629518 290.149055 400.829160
2025-06-15 16.760587 41.812595 79.654289 134.866434 208.425476 299.031115 415.364960
2025-06-22 15.830509 41.090823 79.879008 137.016890 213.628144 308.412325 430.516408
2025-06-29 14.199264 39.010998 78.000438 136.198183 214.910289 312.877923 439.647269
2025-07-06 12.238579 36.141661 74.794944 133.419308 213.531136 313.945830 444.561028
2025-07-13 12.013435 36.482737 76.484860 137.516973 221.236773 326.444353 463.553597
2025-07-20 11.445733 36.119819 77.057089 140.015794 226.816178 336.267361 479.264076